Dow and S&P 500 are guaranteed to rise at least another 5% in the next 2 months — if this 70-year-old pattern holds

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Dow and S&P 500 are guaranteed to rise at least another 5% in the next 2 months — if this 70-year-old pattern holds
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History to investors: Load up on stocks!

It’s the last day of October for stocks and the markets have enjoyed an anxiety-ridden climb toward all-time highs, but if this statistical trend for equity benchmarks holds up, there is much more room to run.

Similarly, when the S&P 500 has gained at least 20% through Oct. 31 — it is up 21.17% thus far, as of Thursday — the benchmark’s return is 6.21% on average for the remaining period, with an average full-year gain of 33.8%. To be sure, past results are absolutely no indication of future returns and U.S. stocks on Thursday fell amid growing worries about the likelihood that the U.S. will be able to carve out a genuine trade agreement with China soon and as an impeachment-inquiry vote tied to President Donald Trump was passed in the House.

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