Don't agonize over looking at multiple outcomes
It says that if the one you are pitching to likes to invest their money in chocolate cakes, don’t bring them lemon meringue and try to convince them it is just as good as chocolate.
Huh. When was the last time you could afford to just walk away from free money? All you had to do was write a “proposal?” I don’t have all the facts, I leave that to the investigative reporters, but on the face of it, it is hard to understand not lobbing in a few paragraphs that look like a “proposal.”And that leads to a Bloomberg Business Week story by Daniel Moore on the subject of “considering multiple outcomes.” I am fascinated by this puzzle.
If he had looked carefully at the conflicted relationship a year ago, he might have acted differently. The example often given for anticipating crisis is Mount Everest. Things change quickly up there, and advance planning is critical. The pandemic has required leaders to create multiple scenarios, almost on the fly. Theodore Klein, Boston Strategy Group, says, “Ambiguity and unintended consequences are now the norm.
A few years ago, I participated in a San Diego Police program for civilians. One classic exercise was a simulation where you are confronted with a hostile situation and a potential threat — and when should you fire your weapon. Too soon and you kill an innocent mother, too late and you are dead.
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