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This Over/Under number is currently the tallest total on the Week 14 NFL odds board. It opened at 51.5 points and quickly jumped to 52.5 with early play on the Over. Some respected online books are as low as 51.5 points, with Miami’s injury concerns at receiver.
Another key injury to keep an eye on is LT Terron Armstead, who was limited in practice. Armstead is the lynchpin of the Fins’ offensive line and pass protection has declined greatly with him out of the lineup. Defensively, both teams are pretty bad, sitting in the back half of the league in many advanced metrics for the year. The Dolphins have been especially terrible on the road, where they allow 32.8 points against and own a road Defensive DVOA rating that sits 28th in the league . The Bolts, funny enough, are 21st in DVOA at home, giving up an average of 28 points per contest as the host team.
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