Senator Raphael Warnock is hoping for another runoff win, but this year, he'll have to use a different playbook to fend off a Republican challenge.
The Democrats' victory in the Peach State was largely attributed to the huge turnout that was fueled by the work of voting rights organizations. But the timeline of this year's runoff could undercut the key strategy they relied on in 2021, meaning Senatorcould face the same fate he delivered his predecessor when he ousted her less than two years ago.
The changes made to the runoff schedule, thanks to a new election law enacted in Georgia last year, are likely to disadvantage Democrats, who tend to encourage more early voting and mail ballots thando. At the same time, Republicans typically do better in runoff elections because of the low voter turnout seen in such races.
"There are three important variables in this race: turnout, turnout, turnout," Daniel Franklin, an associate political science professor at Georgia State University, toldFranklin said even though the stakes are"incredibly high on this one," the timing of the runoffs will make it difficult for candidates to convince Georgians to vote again, especially with the holidays around the corner.
"Some Republicans did vote early in this election cycle, but clearly Democrats, and especially African-Americans, in Georgia really like early in-person voting," Trey Hood, who has been conducting political research at the University of Georgia for more than two decades, toldLast time, Democrats also made a massive push for expanding voter registration between the 2020 presidential election and the 2021 Senate runoff.
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