Here are the top three 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, according to our latest poll 👇
The number of supporters each candidate has varies widely, but for these charts, we wanted to compare theof their support. For each of the top ten candidates, we want to know whether a demographic group is over or under-represented among their supporters. That means measuring whether a candidate has more or fewer supporters of one group than we'd expect based on how many voters belong to that group overall. We used proportions to compare across candidates.
For each demographic group we calculated the difference between the proportion of a demographic group among all likely Democratic voters and that group's share of a candidate's supporters . For example, if Hispanic voters made up 10% of all likely voters but 15% of a candidate's supporters in the same poll, we'd show that candidate as +5 for Hispanic support.
On our charts, we show that data point on a range set by the candidate with the largest score. So, say another candidate had a difference of -10 , we'd show our original candidate at +5 halfway up a scale that runs to +10, the absolute value of the largest score.in the cards that appear when you tap our charts.
Relative risk describes the difference in the "risk" or likelihood that something will be true for you depending on whether you're a member of one group versus another. In our hypothetical case, we're looking for the difference in the likelihood that people will be Hispanic if they are a candidate's supporters.
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