For the highly selective institutions, like members of the Ivy League, acceptance rates and yields may not change significantly. However, many top schools enroll large numbers of international students, and now those prospects are questionable
f there is a glimmer of brightness in the current plague besetting the planet, it may be that high school seniors in the United States are suddenly more likely than ever to get the proverbial “fat envelopes” or acceptance letters from their dream schools, as colleges send out final letters of admission in the coming weeks.
Last year, a relatively good year economically, Bucknell was forced to admit 100 students from its waiting list after it failed to attract enough deposits from incoming freshmen by the May 1 deadline. It wasn’t alone; in 2019 more than 500 colleges reported shortfalls to the National Association of College Admissions Counselors by the deadline.
Many others have more serious enrollment conundrums. International students make up nearly 50% of those attending New York City’s School of Visual Arts. Boston’s New England Conservatory of Music and Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh have international student populations in excess of 40%.
“Now there are a bunch of parents saying, quite reasonably, Can we have a refund on room and board? And most colleges are doing that,” says Richard Ekman, president of the Council for Independent Colleges, referring to the fact that virtually every school will now complete their spring semesters online. “The hit for a college that doesn’t have deep resources is going to be substantial. For a small college, it could be $3 million or $4 million, just in refunded money.
Ohio Wesleyan, which typically admits about 70% of its applicants, is known for offering financial aid to nearly every one of its 1,550 undergraduates. In an effort to stave off a so-called melt of its foreign students, it has already made a commitment to provide online classes if visas are unavailable.
“When your president comes to you and says, you know, we need 30 more students, you’ve got to go get them from somewhere.” says Massa. “So they’ll fish in somebody else’s pond to get their students.”
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