The outcome of the election, scheduled for February 25th, will reverberate far beyond Nigeria’s borders
Christian southNigerian politicians have long won power by stoking divisions along the lines of religion, ethnicity and regional affiliation. But increasingly such splits are turning deadly.roam with alarming freedom, killing and taxing civilians. To evade air strikes their attacks have become smaller but more numerous., sweep into villages, killing and kidnapping for ransom.are trying to reignite the dream of an independent Biafra.regularly spiral into bloodshed.
That Mr Obi has been able so rapidly to challenge a two-party system is largely because he offers a very different sort of politics in Nigeria, where for decades the electoral calculus was largely based on politicians stoking up divisions along the lines of religion, ethnicity and regional affiliation. The candidates of the two main parties, Bola Tinubu of the ruling, seem to still be campaigning with the aim of turning out the vote among their ethnic and religious bases.
Whoever wins the election will inherit a splitting economic headache bequeathed by the outgoing president, Mr Buhari. Growth has been anaemic, annual inflation rose to 21% in December and Nigerians are poorer, on average, than they were when he took office in 2015. “A rational human being would not want power at this time in this country,” says Jibrin Ibrahim, of the Centre for Democracy and Development, a think-tank in Abuja, the capital.
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