It's very likely we're going to see at least one team below .500 in a bowl game.
November 08, 2023 at 5:12 am PSTCHARLOTTESVILLE, VIRGINIA - SEPTEMBER 9: Ty Son Lawton #7 of the James Madison Dukes celebrates a touchdown in the second half during a game against the Virginia Cavaliers at Scott Stadium on September 9, 2023 in Charlottesville, Virginia. It’s very likely we’re going to see at least one team below .500 in a bowl game.
With three weeks to go in the 2023 college football regular season, the odds of all 81 bowl spots being filled by teams with six wins seem small. Just 50 postseason-eligible teams already have six or more wins and 17 teams need a win to be bowl eligible. If each of those teams gets at least one win, that’s still just 67 teams with six or more wins.
To have a full bowl field of eligible teams, a lot of sub-.500 teams need to do some serious work over their final three games. There are 41 teams who need to win either two of their final three games or go undefeated over the final three weeks of the season. Can 14 of those teams get to six wins?They're officially ineligible for the postseason
as part of their respective transitions to the top level of college football. But they will get to play in a bowl if there aren't enough six-win teams for all the bowl spots. We have them in our bowl projections and feel they're safely in the bowl field. If more than JMU and JSU are needed to fill out the bowl field, the NCAA will look to the Academic Progress Rate of the teams that finished the season at 5-7. That’s good news for Northwestern. The Wildcats had the best APR of any team a season ago and are currently 4-6. A win over Purdue , gets Northwestern to five wins and the likely option of going to a bowl game.
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