Kyiv has no plans to pull out of Bakhmut. Ukrainian officials say it's not just a matter of what the loss would mean for the public's morale. The city's defense, they say, is linked to a planned spring offensive that could commence within weeks as the...
Ukrainian forces are hoping to build on the spectacular successes of a fall sortie that broke through a weak link in Russian lines and pushed the invading forces out of almost all of the Krakhiv Oblast in the east. After retaking the city of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast in October, Ukrainian forces met tougher Russian resistance and a winter counterattack by Russian troops and mercenaries centered on Bakhmut.
And the government of Ukrainian President Voldymyr Zelenskyy is desperate to revive the momentum and morale-lifting success of the fall’s fighting, even as Russia is rushing new troops to the fighting and has had months to shore up its defensive lines. John Hardie, deputy director of the Russia Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies think tank, agreed that a Ukrainian counter-offensive is likely imminent.
Russian military commanders have likely begun rationing artillery ammunition due to the shortages that have erupted in recent weeks along several parts of the front line. It has probably been a key reason why no Russian combat formation has been able to generate significant offensive action against Ukraine, British military officials said last week.
“So far in this war, Ukraine has really not conducted successful large-scale maneuver operations except where Russian forces were very thin,” he said. “But, I’ve learned throughout this war not to bet against the Ukrainians. They’ve consistently proven pessimists wrong.”
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