Worries over a looming deadline to raise the U.S. debt ceiling are rippling through the Treasury bill market, according to BofA Global Research.
BofA strategists said in a rates research note Friday that they’ve pulled forward their estimate of the so-called X-date, when the U.S. government risks hitting its borrowing limit and technically defaulting on its debt obligations, to August 1. The revised estimate “could slip to late July,” they said, from their previously anticipated X-date of mid-to-early August.
Prices of Treasurys fall as their yields rise. Some investors may be wary of bills maturing around the so-called X-date. Investors have been watching for progress in Congress to raise the U.S. debt limit. President Joe Biden and Democrats have said they want the debt ceiling lifted without conditions, while House Speaker and California Republican Kevin McCarthy has demanded spending cuts in exchanged for raising it.
Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs Group warned that the deadline to raise the U.S. debt ceiling was approaching faster than expected after recent data pointed to weak tax receipts. Goldman analysts said in an April 18 note they saw “a slightly greater chance that the deadline is in late July, but this could easily change to a base case of early June if tax receipts continue to undershoot.”
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