With Kevin Gausman dealing and Toronto's bats having a tough time at the plate lately, don't expect many runs for this evening's matchup between the Blue Jays and Guardians. Covers_Caley explains ⤵️
Gausman to allow 6+ hitsThe theme of today’s same-game parlay will be Kevin Gausman. As always, we start with our best bet...but let’s bump it up to 8.5 for a little more breathing room.
Next, let’s add Gausman to record 6+ strikeouts. Even though the Guardians have a low K-rate, no one in the American League has more strikeouts this season than Gausman. And since Cleveland has little to no pop in its lineup, chances are good that Gausman remain in the game long enough to hit this number.
At the same time, the Guardians rank fourth in the big leagues when it comes to batting average vs. right-handed pitching. If Gausman pitches into the sixth inning, there’s a good chance he gives up six or more hits solely based on the duration of time he's kept out there.
Now, I don’t love the Blue Jays at this price considering their struggles with runners in scoring position, but I don’t hate taking a shot on them on the run line at even money or better. When it comes to the total for this matchup, it opened at a low 7.5 and has been bet up to an even 8. I’m clearly on the Under in this matchup, and that is buoyed by the fact that this matchup also involves two solid bullpens. Toronto relievers rank sixth in xFIP while Cleveland ranks 16th, so don’t expect an uptick in late-game scoring. Looking to bet on some Jays action? Join Sports Interaction, the best in Canada for new bettors.
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