Did yours make the list? SEE: The current list of remaining 2021 Atlantic tropical cyclone *names*, as chosen by the WMO. Download it at: HurricaneOutlook HurricaneSeason ItOnlyTakesOne NWS NWSCPC
The latest outlook reflects that the number of expected named storms is 15-21, including 7-10 hurricanes , of which 3-5 could become major hurricanes . This updated outlook includes the 5 named storms that have formed so far, with Hurricane Elsa becoming the earliest 5th named storm on record.Download Image
NOAA scientists predict that the likelihood of an above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is 65%. There is a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season. Atlantic sea surface temperatures are not expected to be as warm as they were during the record-breaking 2020 season; however, reduced vertical wind shear and an enhanced west Africa monsoon all contribute to the current conditions that can increase seasonal hurricane activity. These conditions are set against the backdrop of the ongoing warm phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation, which has been favoring more active hurricane seasons since 1995.
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