MLB predictions, picks, and odds for Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins on October 10. MLB Division Series 2023 free pick and best bets.
Cristian Javier has had a disappointing season, but it might be time to jump on his bandwagon. With playoff ball, we're seeing shorter leashes but the Astros have deployed him liberally and there could be major value on his outs recorded prop.The Minnesota Twins were able to steal a big win at Minute Maid Park and even their American League Division Series with the Houston Astros.
The results of this American League Division Series have been pretty straightforward. The team that has gotten the better performance from its starting pitcher has won the ballgame. While it may look like the Twins have the edge in that regard in Game 3 with The 26-year-old found his good form in the month of September. Over six starts last month he pitched to a 3.42 FIP while limiting opponents to a .198 batting average. And most importantly, his strikeouts have returned. Javier has struck out 11.7 batters per nine innings over 30 2/3 innings pitched to finish the season.
Now, obviously, Javier’s overall numbers aren’t great and pitchers have a shorter leash in the postseason, but three innings is really short outing. Particularly for Javier. Javier has shown signs of being the guy who was so dominant last season. And with the Twins striking out at a much higher rate in the postseason , the right-hander is set up to go Over his outs recorded prop.Now, in addition to Javier clearing his outs recorded prop, I wanted to add his strikeouts as well but it has come down off the board at some spots. So instead, let’s add Javier to record the first strikeout.
Then there is the case of Sonny Gray. Sure, he had some solid numbers this season and is coming off an outing against the Toronto Blue Jays in the Wild Card round where he shut them out over five innings. But that game was marred by errors that the Jays were not able to take advantage of. On top of that, his expected ERA was nearly a run higher a 3.69 and his opponent's expected batting average was in the 48th percentile.
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