As states move to reopen, COVID-19 death rate numbers raise a red flag

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As states move to reopen, COVID-19 death rate numbers raise a red flag
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The urge for states to reopen is understandable. Lockdown can’t continue forever, and the economy matters too. Low case counts make it look like the worst is over. But reopening now could still prove to be premature.

According to Gov. Andrew Cuomo, New York state isn’t ready to start reopening just yet. “I know … people are feeling emotional, but emotions can’t drive a reopening process,” Cuomo said Tuesday. “We have to separate the emotion from the logic.”

The urge is understandable. Lockdown can’t continue forever, and the economy matters too. Low case counts make it look like the worst is over. Why? Because for the most part, residents of states moving to reopen are still dying of the coronavirus at a faster pace than New Yorkers. Testing is also much less widespread in the reopened states than in New York.

Jason Godbey hangs a banner over the entrance of Madison ChopHouse Grille on April 27, as the restaurant in Madison, Ga., prepares to shift from takeout-only to dine-in service. Having a faster death rate than New York doesn’t doom these states to catastrophe upon reopening. But the coronavirus won’t contain itself, especially post-lockdown.

The only two states to clear the 2 percent mark are Tennessee and Mississippi . In other words, even the best of the reopening states are testing at only about half the rate of New York.

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