The American public appears to dread a rematch between its two oldest Presidents, and both of them are viewed unfavorably by a majority of the public.
on Tuesday. First, Barr reminded readers that Trump was “grossly self-centered, lacked self-control,” and had a “juvenile, bombastic, and petulant style.” Barr acknowledged that, those noxious qualities notwithstanding, he had supported Trump in 2016 and served in his Cabinet. What he finds more unforgiveable today is that Trump, with his “supreme narcissism,” has proved to be such an electoral flop.
Yet for all the appearance of tumult in our politics, the past two weeks have also made it entirely clear that the election of 2024 might come down to exactly the same choice as the election of 2020: Biden versus Trump. In one survey this fall, just six per cent of voters wanted another Biden-Trump face-off. But that doesn’t mean it won’t happen. It might even be one of the likeliest scenarios.
So much for the conventional wisdom two years out. For now, we don’t know what we don’t know. Will Trump be indicted? Put on trial? One premise of his candidacy, it now seems clear, is his hope that an early announcement would serve as a deterrent—both to potential Republican rivals, such as Florida Governor, and to the Justice Department, which must soon consider whether to take the unprecedented step of indicting a former President who is again running for the White House.
Trump, in other words, is betting on bad times to buoy his campaign and return him to office. But what if there is no recession or, ascurrently predict, the economy starts to look up again and inflation starts to wane before the next election? Then what?
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