'We have done what we had to do, and I am not criticizing the shutdown strategy so far. I’m simply saying that it cannot last.' sullydish writes
I know, I have it very easy. I’m not required to put myself at risk every day as a hospital or essential worker. I’m still employed. I’ve got some savings, and don’t have to worry about basic survival. I get food delivered. I haven’t lost any family members or friends from COVID-19 . My apartment gets plenty of sun and I have two dogs who love me. I get a couple of good walks in a day, and have plenty to read. I don’t have kids.
But I’m also aware that even this modest arrest of a previously exponential disease has only delayed the inevitable. “Flattening the curve” has actually been a remarkable success — but its very success will likely draw this epidemic out for months and years. Yes, if you’re being super-realistic: years. Vaccines do not happen overnight — and even an 18-month deadline for vaccine salvation is being optimistic. We still don’t have a vaccine for HIV, and probably never will.
The obvious massive difference between the race to find treatments for HIV and those for COVID-19 is also that HIV in America was relatively contained within the world of anal sex and intravenous drug use . The broader society could go on as normal, even though the gay world was experiencing medieval levels of death. With COVID-19, in stark contrast, we have shut down almost our entire economy and restricted all human interaction in unprecedented ways.
And so we wait. Absent a pharmaceutical miracle, we are headed, if we keep this up, toward both a collapse in the economy and an inevitable second wave that will further cull the population. Yes, I’m a catastrophist by nature. I hope and pray something intervenes to save us from this uniquely grim future. But I learned something from the AIDS years: Sometimes it is a catastrophe. And sometimes the only way past something is through it.
The only competitive election she ran in, for governor, she lost, with a massive black and white turnout. Even the young and untested Barack Obama had won a Senate race in a landslide, with 70 percent of the vote in a seat previously occupied by a Republican, before he ran for president. That option would have been open to Abrams in Georgia after her defeat in 2018, and she could have proved her strength and elevated her profile in the Senate.
No argument on the latter, but are black women overall demanding a black female candidate? Not really. In the primaries, black voters overwhelmingly voted for a white man, Joe Biden, and showed no real enthusiasm for any of the black candidates. And the data do not suggest that black voters will only show up for a black candidate. In fact, polling says they are much less concerned than white liberals with the race and gender of their nominee.
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