Analysis | Trump’s 2018 midterm rebuke came from the most diverse electorate in history

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Analysis | Trump’s 2018 midterm rebuke came from the most diverse electorate in history
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Analysis: Trump’s 2018 midterm rebuke came from the most diverse electorate in history

Voters cast ballots at an elementary school library in Columbus, Ga., on Nov. 6, 2018. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow April 23 at 1:11 PM It’s not news that the 2018 midterm elections saw a broad surge in the number of Americans casting votes relative to past midterms. We’ve noted before that turnout in the election passed 50 percent, according to U.S.

Overall, of course, the trend has been toward more diverse electorates as the population of the country has also grown more steadily diverse. That’s why we highlighted 2008 and 2014 on the graph shown earlier: The electorate in the 2014 election was about as heavily nonwhite as the electorate in 2008.

If the relationship between the diversity of the electorate and partisan voting results were direct and robust, Democrats would consistently do better over time as the electorate grew less white. That’s not what we see.

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