The Warriors are vulnerable in the NBA Finals without home-court advantage
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr reacts to a call during the second half of the team's NBA basketball game against the Minnesota Timberwolves, Friday March 29, 2019, in Minneapolis. Minnesota won 131-130 in overtime.
To be fair, the Warriors have made no secret they value long-term health more than regular-season success but while a 57-25 record gets them home-court advantage throughout the Western Conference playoffs it does not insure them four home games at Oracle Arena if they were to face either the Milwaukee Bucks or Toronto Raptors in the 2019 NBA Finals. And that is pretty much the only factor that should keep the Warriors from another trophy.
According to the web site WhoWins, when the team with home-court advantage loses the first game of the series they still have close to a 50/50 chance at winning the title.
Toronto would be a 51 percent favorite over Golden State in a seven-game series. In other words, the ability to play four games at Scotiabank Arena helps makes up for a perceived lack of talent on Toronto’s roster in comparison to Golden State’s super team. And remember, those numbers are perhaps low after the Raptors played 22 games without their best player, Kawhi Leonard, this season. When he was in the lineup Toronto outscored opponents by 7.8 net points per 100 possessions.
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