Analysis: A big electability problem is that voters aren’t great at determining electability
Democratic presidential candidate and former vice president Joe Biden greets a woman in a crowd on April 29. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow May 2 at 10:59 AM The undercurrent in the swollen Democratic presidential primary field has become a near-audible rumble: Who can defeat President Trump?
Well, given the margins of error, Lieberman, Dean and two other candidates were all sort of mushed together as most supported and most electable. That’s one key pattern here: The candidates that are seen as most electable are generally also those who have the most support. A really, really great example of that came in 2012. The Post and ABC polled in September and October of that year, witnessing a massive shift in how Republicans viewed the field. In the October poll, Texas Gov. Rick Perry had a lead and was seen as the most electable.
Was Trump really the candidate best positioned to beat Hillary Clinton that year? Maybe. Maybe this is a situation where the electorate got it right. In March, HuffPost and YouGov conducted a poll focused on the question of electability, asking voters if they thought a candidate would be more or less electable depending on their gender, race or age.
Brasil Últimas Notícias, Brasil Manchetes
Similar News:Você também pode ler notícias semelhantes a esta que coletamos de outras fontes de notícias.
Analysis | Joe Biden checks the ‘electability’ box for whom?Among the diverse groups that make up the Democratic Party, there is disagreement about what makes a candidate electable.
Consulte Mais informação »
Joe Biden Backs A Public Option — Not Medicare For All — As He Argues For Electability“Let me shoot straight with you — and this may not be popular in parts of the Democratic Party, but we have to have a nominee and can’t have a nominee that is too far left,” a Biden ally said Monday.
Consulte Mais informação »
Kim Jong Un courts others amid rift in 'great relationship' with TrumpDonald Trump may think his “great relationship” with Kim Jong Un will ultimately result in a nuclear deal, but the North Korean leader is flirting with other suitors in an apparent attempt to pressure Washington into easing sanctions
Consulte Mais informação »
Analysis | Tailoring Democratic rhetoric to win over rural North Dakota voters seems unhelpfulAnalysis: Tailoring Democratic rhetoric to win over rural North Dakota voters seems unhelpful
Consulte Mais informação »
How to solve a problem with no apparent solution, according to top problem solver Melinda GatesMelinda Gates, co-founder of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, explains how to solve problems with no apparent solution.
Consulte Mais informação »
Analysis | The Health 202: New CBO analysis could torpedo Medicare-for-all proposalsThe Health 202: New CBO analysis could torpedo Medicare-for-all proposals
Consulte Mais informação »
Several airlines report problems with reservation system, causing problems for travelersThe problem was blamed on a computerized reservation system.
Consulte Mais informação »
Analysis | Stephen Moore’s views are controversial. But polling shows they aren’t uncommon among Trump supporters.Some of Trump's most loyal supporters agree with Moore on whether women should work outside the home and receive equal pay.
Consulte Mais informação »
“His lawsuits aren’t doing any good” says Maxine Waters of Trump’s efforts to halt her investigation“We have representation from Deutsche Bank and Capitol One that they will cooperate with us,” the head of the House Financial Services Committee said. “So, he can file his lawsuits.”
Consulte Mais informação »