Analysis: Historical patterns suggested that the Republican party would accrue a hefty majority in the House and regain control of the Senate. Those things didn’t happen for a variety of reasons.
from the Census Bureau tracking voter participation in the midterms. After adjusting the data to match state-level turnout, they discovered that turnout rates among Black voters declined heavily since the 2018 election.
About 74 percent of the electorate was White, compared with 59 percent of the population. About 41 percent of the electorate was 60 or older, compared with 30 percent of the adult population.The biggest racial gulf was among Hispanics. About 19 percent of the population is Hispanic, but less than 10 percent of the electorate was. Citizenship plays a role here; Hispanics make up about 16 percent of the population of U.S. citizens.
In 1985, Whites were overrepresented in the electorate by about eight percentage points. In 2022, it was about 15 points. Again, this overlaps with age. The patterns of representation in the population look different largely because of the baby boom, with the population ages 45 to 69 surging and receding in the 1986-to-2023 period. But the gap in representation has been consistent, with older Americans being overrepresented and younger Americans underrepresented.exit polls
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