The 2023 NBA Draft is now complete. No. 1 was no surprise, but the rest of the first round offered intrigue, starting with the Charlotte Hornets selecting Alabama’s Brandon Miller at No. 2. Full analysis from johnhollinger and Sam_Vecenie ⤵️
Hawkins has a very real case as the best shooter in the 2023 NBA Draft. His jumper is entirely projectable to the next level, not only in terms of making spot-ups but also creating shots from 3 at volume with his off-ball movement. These players who can do this are worth their weight in gold. He’s going to make life for stars around him easier. On top of it, he works defensively, and he has some upside as a shot creator.
Given how well developed his pull-up game is already, I think it’s a worthwhile investment. He’ll take some development, but I’m a buyer in him figuring it out. That’s why I had him in my top 15.Well, this is an interesting one for me, personally. The Lakers’ track record in the draft over the last decade or so has been as good as any team’s in the league. On the other hand, I think Hood-Schifino is the most overrated player in the draft.
I think I’m probably going to end up a bit lower than the consensus on Clowney in large part because I’m worried about the offensive role as well as some of the specific athletic movement-based issues that could plague his best role. Offensively, Clowney needs to iron out his jumper, become a better passer and playmaker and improve his ballhandling if he wants to legitimately play as a four.
The shooting is the big differentiator here. Keegan was a good one with real projectability and off-movement potential; Kris is a stiffer shooter who is more inconsistent and will likely be confined to spot-ups. The swing skill is how much that shooting from a standstill develops. If he can knock them down at a 38 percent clip, he can be a potential fifth starter. If he can’t, he’ll be more of a rotation player.
Sheppard has enough skill to be a useful NBA player. He can knock down shots, he has real ball skills and his defensive instincts are valuable. It all comes down to the kind of strength Sheppard can add in the coming years. If he can get strong enough to play through physical contact on both ends of the floor, he’s the exact kind of player NBA teams look for.
Miller had never played a level above the Ontario Scholastic League prior to this past season. He didn’t get to play AAU basketball against high-level athletes who can match him. Before he played at Nike Hoop Summit and the combine last year, he’d never even consistently played in games against Division I-level talent. For him to figure out the G League within a year is remarkable when put in that context.
Tyson is one of my favorite two-way bets this year because of how well I think his shooting will translate to higher-level basketball. He moves exceptionally well off the ball, has great shot prep and is always ready to fire. He has a beautiful high release point, and he plays with an immense amount of confidence. On top of that, he’s bigger than most of these shooter types who realistically have a chance to play on the wing athletically.
It only takes one, though. And I do think that the Hornets have a real chance to end up with a steal a few years down the line if they’re patient. I had a second-round grade on him because I think there is some real developmental time necessary. But I’m intrigued enough to give him a guaranteed deal as a top-40 player.Charlotte is getting overloaded with small guards here, but I liked Bailey more than the consensus after his showing at the Combine.
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