Low testing capacity and a shortage of contact-tracers leave America ill-equipped to get its epidemic under control
starting our life again,” said President Donald Trump on April 16th, as he unveiled the federal government’s plan to reopen America. The next day Greg Abbott, Texas’s governor, echoed the president’s optimism. “We have demonstrated that we can corral the coronavirus,” he said. Mr Abbott is gradually reopening his state; his stay-at-home order will expire on April 30th.
The handmaiden of eagerness is partially justified optimism. Just one month ago an epidemiological model warned that covid-19 could kill 2.2m Americans. Mr Trump has said that keeping American deaths under 200,000 would constitute “a very good job.” Thus far about 47,000 have died. Some hotspots have begun bringing the disease to heel. There seem to be fewer sirens screaming towards Elmhurst Hospital in Queens, the centre of New York’s outbreak.
America also has a shortage of contact-tracers—people who investigate where someone caught the disease and who else he may have infected. Tom Frieden, who headed the Centres for Disease Control until 2017, believes America needs 300,000. It currently has around 2,200. Some states and cities have begun training more, but not nearly enough . America also lacks places to isolate the infected so they do not spread the virus to their families and neighbours.
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