Exercises act as a deterrent, warning North Korea against probing for weaknesses in the South’s armour. But it is hard to convey military strength to a thin-skinned regime without antagonising it
Save time by listening to our audio articles as you multitaskReality set in when talks fell apart at their second meeting, in Hanoi the following year. Yet covid-19 and the lingering hope of rapprochement meant that joint exercises have been cancelled or scaled down ever since. Yoon Suk-yeol, who took over as South Korea’s president in May, has been keen to bring them back. On August 22nd the two armed forces will start their first full-scale drills since 2017.
The exercises are also sorely needed, says Clint Work of the Stimson Centre, a think-tank in Washington. Conscripts come and go and officers change roles often, so regular training is necessary to ensure everyone knows their duties. Usually this turnover is staggered, ensuring some continuity. But the long gap since the previous exercises has sapped readiness. And North Korea has been developing new conventional weapons over that period. New threats require new training.
Exercises also act as a deterrent, warning North Korea against probing for weaknesses in the South’s armour. But deterrence always comes with risk: it is hard to convey military strength to a thin-skinned regime without antagonising it. On August 17th, as American and South Korean forces were conducting preliminary drills, North Korea test-fired two cruise missiles.
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