Alarm bells should be ringing at Trump HQ after N.C. House scare

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Alarm bells should be ringing at Trump HQ after N.C. House scare
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Analysis: It's always better to win than lose — but Republicans holding onto a GOP seat by a hair is reason for the president to worry heading into 2020.

had drawn a half-dozen excited tweets from President Donald Trump by early Wednesday morning.

"Dan Bishop was down 17 points 3 weeks ago. He then asked me for help, we changed his strategy together, and he ran a great race," Trump tweeted."Big Rally last night." A 2-point win in a district that Trump carried by 12 points in 2016 qualified as"monumental," he said in a phone call with Bishop — and on one level it's hard to argue with that interpretation in the context of Trump's sub-40 percent national approval rating, the drubbing his party took in the 2018 midterm elections and an ever-more-chaotic administration atmosphere that saw the firing of his third national security adviser in less than three years on Tuesday.

While Trump's charge is different than that of House Republicans — he has to win state-by-state to take an electoral college majority, while they play district-by-district to try to recapture control of the House — the political dynamics are related. The results Tuesday night demonstrated that, at least outside Charlotte, Republicans aren't winning back many in the vote-rich suburbs they lost in the 2018 midterms.And yet Trump could take satisfaction in one obvious subplot.

Trump strategy for winning re-election relies heavily on massive rural Republican turnout in swing states —

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