After possibly the best first-half of a year ever for world markets, investors n...
LONDON - After possibly the best first-half of a year ever for world markets, investors now find themselves hoping for a familiar fallback to keep the party going: central banks wading in with more stimulus.
And risks abound, not least from trade tensions between the world’s two biggest economies and elevated share and bond valuations, which may tempt investors to sell and book profits. Markets’ dependency on central bank stimulus has created a disconnect in asset pricing that has dominated 2019. Demand for government debt is predicted to remain high — Goldman Sachs said their downside risk scenario for the 10-year German Bund DE10YT=RR, the go-to safe-haven European government bond, is to yield around -0.5%. It hit a record -0.34% low last week.
What’s more, rock-bottom volatility — swings in prices — favors seeking “carry”, a strategy where investors sell lower-yield assets to buy higher-yielding securities.
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