Saturday's result has reshaped the race—but capitalising on the result for Super Tuesday may prove difficult
OVER THE past couple of weeks, centrist Democrats’ whispered anxieties about Bernie Sanders have heightened into a primal scream. In the party’s caucuses and primaries so far, he ran a close second in Iowa before winning New Hampshire and then romping to victory in Nevada, despite opposition from the state’s most powerful union. His moderate rivals, meanwhile, looked dispirited.
That is not to discount the scale of Mr Biden’s victory. He won every county, trouncing Mr Sanders not just with black and moderate voters, but also with self-identified liberals and running nearly even with him among young voters. Turnout was robust: more than 500,000 people voted, almost as many as in 2008, and 130,000 more than in 2016. In the four early states’ combined popular vote, Mr Biden now leads by nearly 65,000.
Unless Mike Bloomberg turns in a stellar performance on Super Tuesday, the rationale for his candidacy will also fade. Mr Biden and Mr Bloomberg are both competing for the votes of pragmatic moderates, and Mr Bloomberg’s rise in the polls has taken a chunk out of Mr Biden. A rejuvenated Mr Biden could reverse that slide. If Mr Bloomberg does drop out, he has promised to spend heavily on behalf of any Democratic nominee; Mr Sanders has declined the offer.
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