Since 1988 when frontloading a significant number of states on a single day became popularized in the GOP primary, it has been decisive in determining the nominee.
Former President Donald Trump is pictured at the Conservative Political Action Conference on Feb. 24 in National Harbor, Md. This upcoming Tuesday will be a major voting day in the Republican primary.Former President Donald Trump is pictured at the Conservative Political Action Conference on Feb. 24 in National Harbor, Md. This upcoming Tuesday will be a major voting day in the Republican primary.Former President Donald Trump looks now to be the inevitable nominee of the Republican Party.
Since 1988, the first time Republicans had a real, front-loaded Super Tuesday with a significant number of states voting on a single day, the candidate who won a majority of the states that day has gone on to win the nomination.It's understandable that this would be the case. Super Tuesday is the closest thing to a national primary.2. The states mostly allocate their delegates by winner-take-all — and that method could create an insurmountable lead for a front-runner.
If one candidate sweeps most of the states, it would create a largely insurmountable lead for that front-runner. If Trump's massive lead in national polls holds, that could very well be the case Tuesday night. But, if history is any guide, there don't appear to be enough Republican-leaning independent voters in Super Tuesday states for Haley to make a real dent.Conservative megadonors Koch not funding Haley anymore as she continues longshot bid
To drive home the point, in South Carolina, her home state, she won independents by 19 points, according to exit polls, but still lost the primary by 20 points.
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