2023 March Madness upsets: Bracket Breakers picks its 10 most likely first-round upsets

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2023 March Madness upsets: Bracket Breakers picks its 10 most likely first-round upsets
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  • 📰 TheAthletic
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The bracket is here and you're probably already trying to find that big upset. The Athletic's statistical model lists the top-10 most likely first-round upsets:

The brackets are out! Here at Bracket Breaker Central, we’re geeking out so badly, we can barely keep up with the reams of ticker tape Slingshot is spitting out. As always, we’ll have detailed analysis of every game with giant-killing implications in the lead-up to Thursday’s action, plus our annual lookahead at potential second-round Bracket Breaker matchups. But we wanted to get you some numbers right away.

With the help of our outstanding team ofmath professors – Liz Bouzarth, John Harris and Kevin Hutson – we have incorporated all kinds of bells and whistles into our model that we’ve written about before but never fully deployed. These include cluster analysis, more sophisticated measures of team pace and comparisons to. Our quick reaction: This field looks thrillingly friendly to upsets — more like 2021 than 2022.

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