“They were different [from expectations] in ways that you could argue were a little bit better for Democrats than Republicans. But the Republicans do still have some significant advantages.”
.”
We’re still sorting through the numbers, but at the top line that didn't happen. The Latino count was totally in line with the census estimates. What’s more, the census actually showed a smaller share of non-Hispanic whites than expected: about 2 percent less. And white voters, of course, are more likely to be Republican.
But on the other hand, I don't know if it really changes anything — or changes much — in terms of the overall redistricting picture.Because there are many more states and districts that are controlled by Republicans than Democrats — and they can still slice and dice these electorates in all sorts of different ways to maximize their own advantage.Our count shows that Republicans have total control over redrawing 180 districts. Democrats have total control over just 75.
Now, you start to mess with districts like that and you invite federal lawsuits. The Supreme Court has stayed out of trying to adjudicate partisan redistricting claims, but the federal courts do intervene often ongerrymandering claims. So if you either have too many minority voters packed into a single district or if you have a cohesive minority group that is so-called cracked — i.e.
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